Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ETS
1 - 3
MWA
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
3 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 3
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 1
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
MWA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 2
DAN
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |