Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 3
MWA
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MWA
1 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
MWA
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MWA
2 - 1
PEÑ
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
2 - 1
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATE
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ETS
2 - 1
DEF
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUD
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |