Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 3
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
MWA
3 - 0
REN
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 2
MWA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 5
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
ETS
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |