Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 1
MWA
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
CSM
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LFC
0 - 2
MWA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LFC
1 - 2
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DEF
4 - 1
RIV
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 3
DEF
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |