Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 2
MWA
29%
26%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MWA
0 - 0
LFC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 0
MWA
26%
26%
47%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 3
MWA
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
MWA
3 - 1
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CER
1 - 4
DEF
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAC
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
DEF
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |