Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
MWA
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MWA
0 - 1
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
2 - 3
MWA
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MWA
3 - 2
JUN
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
MWA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 2
BOC
49%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 2
DEF
19%
26%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |