Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BVS
1 - 2
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MWA
3 - 1
DAN
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CER
4 - 3
MWA
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MWA
2 - 0
LFC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
MWA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
FEN
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
4 - 0
CER
71%
19%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LFC
0 - 0
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |