Montevideo Wanderers vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 1
MWA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
MWA
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MWA
3 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 1
PEÑ
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
REN
2 - 2
MWA
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LFC
2 - 5
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |