Montevarchi Calcio vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
MON
3 - 0
ACL
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
LIV
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CSP
2 - 3
ACS
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |