Montevarchi Calcio vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
MON
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 1
MON
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
GRA
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
TRA
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
SDT
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 2
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
5 - 0
CAN
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |