Montevarchi Calcio vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
MON
22%
21%
56%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
MPO
35%
26%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SIN
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
TUT
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
USR
0 - 2
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GHI
3 - 2
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 2
SPO
31%
25%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
BAS
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |