Montevarchi Calcio vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ASG
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
ACS
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIN
2 - 1
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
BEN
1 - 0
MON
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
REG
1 - 1
SPA
44%
29%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 2
ACS
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FOL
2 - 1
SPA
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAV
43%
29%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |