Montevarchi Calcio vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 2
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
GSA
52%
26%
23%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SCA
3 - 2
MON
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
DER
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
ORV
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
0 - 3
PON
18%
23%
59%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
APC
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RIE
2 - 1
PON
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
PON
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |