Montevarchi Calcio vs Ostia Mare analysis

Montevarchi Calcio Ostia Mare
48 ELO 38
-0.6% Tilt -15.2%
5147º General ELO ranking 5865º
182º Country ELO ranking 211º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Montevarchi Calcio
20.1%
Draw
14.7%
Ostia Mare

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
Montevarchi Calcio
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.7%
Win probability
Ostia Mare
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montevarchi Calcio
-19%
+27%
Ostia Mare

Points and table prediction

Montevarchi Calcio
Their league position
Ostia Mare
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
16º
11º
45
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Livorno
72
72
100%
Fulgens Foligno
60
60
100%
Seravezza
59
59
100%
GSD Ghiviborgo
55
55
100%
Orvietana Calcio
53
53
100%
Siena
52
52
100%
Grosseto
50
50
100%
Ostia Mare
45
45
100%
San Donato Tavarnelle
43
43
0%
Poggibonsi
10º
43
43
10º
0%
Montevarchi Calcio
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Flaminia
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Follonica Gavorrano
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Terranuova Traiana
14º
39
39
14º
100%
AS Figline
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Sporting Trestina
16º
38
38
16º
0%
Sangiovannese
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Fezzanese
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montevarchi Calcio
Ostia Mare
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montevarchi Calcio
Ostia Mare
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevarchi Calcio
Montevarchi Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2024
SDT
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 - 0
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
28%
27%
45%
49 42 7 0
08 Dec. 2024
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
1 - 2
Grosseto
GRO
36%
27%
37%
49 53 4 0
01 Dec. 2024
SPO
Sporting Trestina
2 - 2
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
30%
27%
43%
49 43 6 0
24 Nov. 2024
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
0 - 0
Fezzanese
FEZ
78%
15%
7%
49 33 16 0
16 Nov. 2024
FUL
Fulgens Foligno
2 - 2
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
28%
26%
46%
49 29 20 0

Matches

Ostia Mare
Ostia Mare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 2024
OST
Ostia Mare
0 - 1
Siena
SIE
20%
25%
54%
40 51 11 0
08 Dec. 2024
SDT
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 - 1
Ostia Mare
OST
47%
26%
27%
39 42 3 +1
30 Nov. 2024
GRO
Grosseto
1 - 0
Ostia Mare
OST
75%
17%
9%
39 52 13 0
24 Nov. 2024
OST
Ostia Mare
1 - 2
Flaminia
FLA
30%
26%
45%
40 45 5 -1
17 Nov. 2024
SPO
Sporting Trestina
1 - 1
Ostia Mare
OST
46%
26%
28%
40 41 1 0