Montevarchi Calcio vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
17%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
MON
0 - 3
ASS
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PRG
4 - 1
MON
70%
20%
10%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VOL
4 - 0
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
FLA
4 - 1
ORV
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 0
ASD
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SSD
2 - 1
ORV
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ORV
2 - 1
ACM
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
ORV
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |