Montevarchi Calcio vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+317%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ACD
4 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MON
3 - 0
GAV
32%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +3 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SGP
0 - 2
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ORV
3 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 0
ORV
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ORV
1 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
ORV
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ORV
0 - 0
SCA
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |