Montevarchi Calcio vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
19%
23%
59%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
APC
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAS
0 - 5
MON
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 4
SAN
53%
26%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 2
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ORV
0 - 0
GAV
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SGP
1 - 1
ORV
30%
26%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
APC
2 - 0
ORV
36%
26%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
ORV
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ORV
3 - 0
RIE
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |