Montevarchi Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 2
MON
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
ORV
62%
22%
15%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ASD
2 - 2
MON
19%
23%
59%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
APC
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAS
0 - 5
MON
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ORV
2 - 1
ASL
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 0
SGP
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
APC
0 - 5
ASL
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 1
RIE
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
ASL
23%
28%
49%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |