Montevarchi Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MPO
2 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SGP
2 - 0
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 3
ASL
22%
28%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 2
MON
34%
27%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
ORV
62%
22%
15%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GAV
2 - 3
PON
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 0
GAV
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GAV
0 - 1
ASS
60%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SGP
0 - 0
GAV
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
GAV
3 - 1
GSA
59%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |