Montevarchi Calcio vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
REG
0 - 0
MON
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
UCG
0 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
CSP
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
MON
3 - 0
ACL
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
REG
0 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 0
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
FOL
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
FOR
87%
9%
3%
|
38 | 77 | 39 | -1 |