Montevarchi Calcio vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MON
0 - 2
GAV
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MPO
2 - 1
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SGP
2 - 0
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 3
ASL
22%
28%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
SGP
46%
25%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
RIE
2 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
ORV
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 0
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
APC
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |