Montevarchi Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MON
3 - 3
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 3
MON
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
GAV
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SDT
1 - 1
MON
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 2
GAV
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 1
FOL
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOL
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
GRA
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |