Montevarchi Calcio vs ASD Sporting Terni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
PIA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TOD
4 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Sporting Terni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ASD
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |