Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ACS
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 3
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +15 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
PRG
10%
24%
66%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASD
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 2
ASD
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |