Montevarchi Calcio vs Grassina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TIF
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 1
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
ACS
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 0
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grassina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
TRA
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
GAV
32%
23%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 1
SDT
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 3
BAR
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |