Montevarchi Calcio vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MOD
2 - 0
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ACD
5 - 1
MON
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PON
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
0 - 3
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
IMO
0 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ANC
0 - 3
PIS
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
OLB
1 - 2
ANC
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
55%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |