Montevarchi Calcio vs ACD Guidonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GAV
0 - 1
MON
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
SGP
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SSD
1 - 3
MON
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
ACD Guidonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 0
ACD
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ACD
2 - 0
CLZ
60%
22%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
ACD
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ACD
2 - 1
SCA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |