Montevarchi Calcio vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 3
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +15 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
PRG
10%
24%
66%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
VOL
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
VFC
2 - 1
ACS
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
RAV
0 - 0
ACS
70%
19%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ACS
3 - 1
USP
70%
19%
12%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 2
ACS
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ACS
3 - 0
COR
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +5 |