Montevarchi Calcio vs Fulgens Foligno analysis

Montevarchi Calcio Fulgens Foligno
48 ELO 48
-4.6% Tilt -18.1%
5147º General ELO ranking 5756º
182º Country ELO ranking 205º
ELO win probability
43.7%
Montevarchi Calcio
24.7%
Draw
31.6%
Fulgens Foligno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
Montevarchi Calcio
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.6%
Win probability
Fulgens Foligno
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montevarchi Calcio
-19%
+156%
Fulgens Foligno

Points and table prediction

Montevarchi Calcio
Their league position
Fulgens Foligno
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
16º
11º
60
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Livorno
72
72
100%
Fulgens Foligno
60
60
100%
Seravezza
59
59
100%
GSD Ghiviborgo
55
55
100%
Orvietana Calcio
53
53
100%
Siena
52
52
100%
Grosseto
50
50
100%
Ostia Mare
45
45
100%
San Donato Tavarnelle
43
43
0%
Poggibonsi
10º
43
43
10º
0%
Montevarchi Calcio
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Flaminia
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Follonica Gavorrano
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Terranuova Traiana
14º
39
39
14º
100%
AS Figline
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Sporting Trestina
16º
38
38
16º
0%
Sangiovannese
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Fezzanese
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Montevarchi Calcio
Fulgens Foligno
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Montevarchi Calcio
Fulgens Foligno
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montevarchi Calcio
Montevarchi Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
1 - 1
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
59%
23%
18%
48 53 5 0
09 Mar. 2025
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
0 - 0
Sangiovannese
ACS
53%
24%
23%
48 46 2 0
01 Mar. 2025
ASF
AS Figline
1 - 0
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
40%
27%
33%
48 45 3 0
23 Feb. 2025
MON
Montevarchi Calcio
0 - 2
Livorno
LIV
23%
26%
51%
48 60 12 0
16 Feb. 2025
ATT
Terranuova Traiana
0 - 0
Montevarchi Calcio
MON
36%
27%
38%
48 42 6 0

Matches

Fulgens Foligno
Fulgens Foligno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2025
FUL
Fulgens Foligno
2 - 0
Siena
SIE
43%
25%
32%
47 53 6 0
09 Mar. 2025
OST
Ostia Mare
2 - 2
Fulgens Foligno
FUL
40%
26%
35%
46 46 0 +1
02 Mar. 2025
FUL
Fulgens Foligno
3 - 2
San Donato Tavarnelle
SDT
50%
24%
26%
45 47 2 +1
23 Feb. 2025
FEZ
Fezzanese
0 - 0
Fulgens Foligno
FUL
32%
25%
43%
45 38 7 0
16 Feb. 2025
FUL
Fulgens Foligno
4 - 1
Grosseto
GRO
32%
25%
43%
42 55 13 +3