Montevarchi Calcio vs GSD Arrone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SCA
3 - 2
MON
24%
26%
51%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
DER
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 1
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
GSD Arrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
GSA
1 - 0
ORV
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
0 - 3
GSA
20%
23%
56%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
APC
0 - 1
GSA
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GSA
4 - 3
RIE
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASD
1 - 2
GSA
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |