CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Monterrey vs Xelajú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
LEO
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
MON
18%
24%
59%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 0
MON
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Xelajú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
MON
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
4 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |