Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
LEO
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
UDG
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 0
MON
13%
23%
64%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
AME
4 - 2
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
JUA
2 - 0
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
ALE
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |