Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
QRO
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
MON
4 - 2
CAÑ
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
TIJ
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
TIG
0 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
18%
25%
58%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 2
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |