Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AME
3 - 3
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
QRO
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TIJ
1 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
6 - 0
JAG
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |