Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
QRO
3 - 3
MON
30%
27%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
MON
4 - 1
UAT
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 1
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUM
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 4
TOL
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
SNL
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |