Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
TIG
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 6
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 2
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
QRO
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |