Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
CSH
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
QRO
2 - 1
MON
29%
27%
45%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
MON
3 - 1
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIJ
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |