Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
SAP
2 - 2
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
QRO
0 - 0
MON
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
MON
3 - 2
SES
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
PRI
3 - 2
TOL
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TOL
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |