Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
ATS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
IND
0 - 0
MON
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
PUE
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
PUE
3 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
TOL
4 - 3
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 0
IND
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
37%
28%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |