Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
EST
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
TOL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |