Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
TIG
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 0
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 1
TOL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |