Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TIG
3 - 2
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
QRO
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
JAG
3 - 2
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |