Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MON
4 - 1
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
CAZ
4 - 2
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
MON
1 - 1
REB
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
PUE
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
0 - 2
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 4
PAC
60%
20%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |