Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
JAG
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
ESP
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MON
3 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 0
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JAG
4 - 0
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |