CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 2
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
8 - 0
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
PUM
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |