Monterrey vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 5
MON
7%
17%
77%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
MON
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
PUE
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATS
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 0
PUE
40%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |