Monterrey vs Portland Timbers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
SES
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
RSL
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 3
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
ATS
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 1
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SJE
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
COC
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MIN
4 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |