Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Monterrey vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PUE
2 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 2
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 4
CAZ
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 2
PAC
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 1
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ATS
1 - 2
PAC
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 3
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |