Monterrey vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
VER
0 - 1
MON
12%
22%
66%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
MON
4 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
KCW
2 - 5
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
5 - 1
MON
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 2
PAC
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ATS
1 - 2
NEC
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 1
NEC
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 0
VER
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
NEC
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |