Monterrey vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAC
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 2
CAZ
35%
26%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PAC
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
NEC
3 - 1
JAG
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |